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The interplay of social constraints and individual variation in risk tolerance in the emergence of superspreaders

Source Publication
Journal of the Royal Society
Date Issued
September 17, 2024
Author(s)
Carr, Earl  
Young, Matthew J  
Silk, Matthew J
Pritchard, Alexander J
Fefferman, Nina F.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2023.0077
Permanent URI
https://trace.tennessee.edu/handle/20.500.14382/17065
Abstract

Individual host behaviours can drastically impact the spread of infection through a population. Differences in the value individuals place on both socializing with others and avoiding infection have been shown to yield emergent homophily in social networks and thereby shape epidemic outcomes. We build on this understanding to explore how individuals who do not conform to their social surroundings contribute to the propagation of infection during outbreaks. We show how non-conforming individuals, even if they do not directly expose a disproportionate number of other individuals themselves, can become functional superspreaders through an emergent social structure that positions them as the functional links by which infection jumps between otherwise separate communities. Our results can help estimate the potential success of real-world interventions that may be compromised by a small number of non-conformists if their impact is not anticipated, and plan for how best to mitigate their effects on intervention success.

Disciplines
Applied Mathematics
Health Policy
Submission Type
Post-print
File(s)
Thumbnail Image
Name

The_interplay_of_social_constraints_and_individual_variation_in_risk_tolerance_in_the_emergence_of_superspreaders.pdf

Size

832.95 KB

Format

Adobe PDF

Checksum (MD5)

76e5dd221371b66132862d24f4804ccb


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