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Politically Connected Analysts

Date Issued
May 1, 2014
Author(s)
McDonald, Michael B.  
Advisor(s)
Larry A. Fauver
Additional Advisor(s)
Andy Puckett, Alvaro Taboada, Marianne Wanamaker
Abstract

This dissertation examines politically-connected equity analysts, i.e., analysts that make large political donations. I find that these big donor analysts make more accurate earnings forecasts than other small donor and non-donor analysts, and the accuracy of these forecasts decreases after a big donor analyst ceases his donations. These analysts become more accurate after they become large political donors, suggesting their enhanced performance derives from an advantage gained via their political activity. These results are stronger when (i) the analyst works or lives in the state represented by the benefiting politician, and (ii) the benefiting politician serves on a Congressional committee that regulates the covered firm. Overall, these results suggest that big donor analysts benefit from relationships with politicians who possess knowledge that impacts firms’ prospects.

Subjects

Analysts

Political Connections...

Earnings Estimate Acc...

Disciplines
Corporate Finance
Degree
Doctor of Philosophy
Major
Business Administration
Embargo Date
January 1, 2011
File(s)
Thumbnail Image
Name

Dissertation_McDonald.docx

Size

174 KB

Format

Microsoft Word XML

Checksum (MD5)

6b7402892f541f09da84d0788693c478

Thumbnail Image
Name

auto_convert.pdf

Size

292.67 KB

Format

Adobe PDF

Checksum (MD5)

2e334944397a75d103f46dbd1a450d8c

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